by Crista Huff
President, Goodfellow LLC
Chief Analyst, Smart Investing in Turbulent Times
Global pharmaceutical company Allergan PLC (AGN, $302.56), maker of Viagra, has agreed to be acquired by global biopharmaceutical company Pfizer Inc. (PFE, $31.27), in a transaction valued at $160 billion. Allergan PLC will keep its Irish domicile, and change its name to Pfizer PLC. The company will thereafter no longer be required to pay U.S. income taxes. The merger is targeted to close in the second half of 2016.
AGN shareholders will received an approximate value of $363.63 per share, in the form of 11.3 PFE shares for each AGN share owned.
AGN is expected to complete the previously-announced sale of its generic unit to Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd. (TEVA) in early 2016.
I wrote about this potential merger on October 29th. The stock already rose, during the rumor phase of the merger, and is not yet ready to rise toward the buyout value of about $364. Right now, the market is hesitant that the merger might not be completed. (Otherwise, the stock price would have shot up to $364 right away.) Shareholders should expect a slow share price increase toward $364, as we get closer to second half 2016.
If I owned AGN, I’d wait a few weeks to see if the share price increased. If the price languished, I would sell, and put my capital into an undervalued growth stock with a bullish chart, in order to keep that money moving.
If I had owned PFE, I would have sold it in late October when the merger rumors were prominent. When companies engage in significant purchases, their stocks usually trade sideways for many months, until they begin reporting combined quarterly results. Only then do analysts get a strong sense of the company’s new balance sheet situation, and prospects for earnings growth. If the numbers are attractive, institutional investors commence buying the stock.
Allergan PLC (AGN) six-month chart 11-23-15
Chart courtesy of StockCharts.com.
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Crista Huff
President
Chief Analyst
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